PFW
W-L: (21-15) PR = 94.0771Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1103 H West Va B12 (27- 8, 97.3) 47-83 1107 H Xavier BE (11-19, 93.8) 61-62 1112 A Purdue B10 (13-17, 95.6) 68-67 1115 A So Illinois MV ( 8-20, 92.6) 85-60 1119 A Ea Michigan MA (13-17, 93.5) 67-52 1124 H Nebraska B10 (18-13, 96.3) 57-80 1125 A Nowestern St SL (17-14, 93.2) 77-68 1130 H Bowling Grn MA (16-14, 93.8) 53-56 1203 A IUI HL (12-17, 93.4) 74-68 1207 A Wright St HL ( 9-23, 92.5) 68-52 1210 A WI-Milw HL ( 7-25, 92.3) 70-60 1214 A No Illinois MA ( 7-24, 92.3) 67-44 1219 A AQUIN **-31 1229 H No Kentucky HL (15-17, 93.7) 85-88 102 A Oakland HL (10-21, 93.2) 84-64 105 A IUI HL (12-17, 93.4) 71-46 108 H Robert Morris HL (15-12, 93.6) 64-74 110 H Youngstown St HL (23-10, 94.4) 54-58 114 H Green Bay HL (25- 9, 95.1) 57-69 114 H Green Bay HL (25- 9, 95.1) 57-69 121 A Cleveland St HL (25- 9, 94.3) 80-70 124 A No Kentucky HL (15-17, 93.7) 97-91 127 A Robert Morris HL (15-12, 93.6) 60-46 201 A Detroit HL ( 7-24, 92.3) 95-66 205 H Wright St HL ( 9-23, 92.5) 67-70 207 H Cleveland St HL (25- 9, 94.3) 56-73 214 A Detroit HL ( 7-24, 92.3) 84-68 218 H Oakland HL (10-21, 93.2) 64-71 221 H Youngstown St HL (23-10, 94.4) 71-76 225 A WI-Milw HL ( 7-25, 92.3) 71-52 228 A Green Bay HL (25- 9, 95.1) 71-66 304 A Robert Morris HL (15-12, 93.6) 73-43 308 A IUI HL (12-17, 93.4) 85-49 309 H Green Bay HL (25- 9, 95.1) 48-73 324 A So Alabama SB (17-19, 93.7) 77-72 327 H Arkansas St SB (25-10, 94.9) 72-83
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1103 H West Va 47-83 -36 -3 0.00
1107 H Xavier 61-62 -1 0 -1.27
1112 A Purdue 68-67 1 -1 + 2.49
1115 A So Illinois 85-60 25 1 0.57
1119 A Ea Michigan 67-52 15 1 1.39
1124 H Nebraska 57-80 -23 -2 0.00
1125 A Nowestern St 77-68 9 1 1.18
1130 H Bowling Grn 53-56 -3 0 - -2.24
1203 A IUI 74-68 6 1 1.34
1207 A Wright St 68-52 16 2 0.45
1210 A WI-Milw 70-60 10 2 0.20
1214 A No Illinois 67-44 23 2 0.26
1229 H No Kentucky 85-88 -3 0 - -2.40
102 A Oakland 84-64 20 1 1.13
105 A IUI 71-46 25 1 1.34
108 H Robert Morris 64-74 -10 0 - -2.46
110 H Youngstown St 54-58 -4 0 -1.69
114 H Green Bay 57-69 -12 -1 -0.95
114 H Green Bay 57-69 -12 -1 -0.95
121 A Cleveland St 80-70 10 0 + 2.21
124 A No Kentucky 97-91 6 0 1.62
127 A Robert Morris 60-46 14 0 1.56
201 A Detroit 95-66 29 2 0.24
205 H Wright St 67-70 -3 2 - -3.57
207 H Cleveland St 56-73 -17 0 -1.81
214 A Detroit 84-68 16 2 0.24
218 H Oakland 64-71 -7 1 - -2.89
221 H Youngstown St 71-76 -5 0 -1.69
225 A WI-Milw 71-52 19 2 0.20
228 A Green Bay 71-66 5 -1 + 3.07
304 A Robert Morris 73-43 30 0 1.56
308 A IUI 85-49 36 1 1.34
309 H Green Bay 48-73 -25 -1 -0.95
324 A So Alabama 77-72 5 0 1.62
327 H Arkansas St 72-83 -11 -1 -1.16
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UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1130 H Bowling Grn 53-56 -3 0 - -2.24 1229 H No Kentucky 85-88 -3 0 - -2.40 108 H Robert Morris 64-74 -10 0 - -2.46 205 H Wright St 67-70 -3 2 - -3.57 218 H Oakland 64-71 -7 1 - -2.89 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1112 A Purdue 68-67 1 -1 + 2.49 121 A Cleveland St 80-70 10 0 + 2.21 228 A Green Bay 71-66 5 -1 + 3.07 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 30.35
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H West Va (27- 8, 97.3) 47-83 -2.60 8.36 -0.01 0.87 -1.13
3 H Xavier (11-19, 93.8) 61-62 -6.08 4.88 -0.01 0.87 -2.64
3 A Purdue (13-17, 95.6) 68-67 -4.34 6.62 0.01 0.87 11.49
3 A So Illinois ( 8-20, 92.6) 85-60 -7.26 3.70 0.01 0.87 6.43
3 A Ea Michigan (13-17, 93.5) 67-52 -6.44 4.52 0.01 0.87 7.86
3 H Nebraska (18-13, 96.3) 57-80 -3.55 7.41 -0.01 0.87 -1.54
3 A Nowestern St (17-14, 93.2) 77-68 -6.66 4.30 0.01 0.87 7.48
3 H Bowling Grn (16-14, 93.8) 53-56 -6.05 4.91 -0.01 0.87 -2.63
3 A IUI (12-17, 93.4) 74-68 -6.49 4.47 0.01 0.87 7.76
3 A Wright St ( 9-23, 92.5) 68-52 -7.38 3.58 0.01 0.87 6.23
3 A WI-Milw ( 7-25, 92.3) 70-60 -7.63 3.33 0.01 0.87 5.79
3 A No Illinois ( 7-24, 92.3) 67-44 -7.57 3.39 0.01 0.87 5.89
3 H No Kentucky (15-17, 93.7) 85-88 -6.21 4.75 -0.01 0.87 -2.70
3 A Oakland (10-21, 93.2) 84-64 -6.70 4.26 0.01 0.87 7.40
3 A IUI (12-17, 93.4) 71-46 -6.49 4.47 0.01 0.87 7.76
3 H Robert Morris (15-12, 93.6) 64-74 -6.27 4.69 -0.01 0.87 -2.72
3 H Youngstown St (23-10, 94.4) 54-58 -5.50 5.46 -0.01 0.87 -2.39
3 H Green Bay (25- 9, 95.1) 57-69 -4.76 6.20 -0.01 0.87 -2.07
3 H Green Bay (25- 9, 95.1) 57-69 -4.76 6.20 -0.01 0.87 -2.07
3 A Cleveland St (25- 9, 94.3) 80-70 -5.62 5.34 0.01 0.87 9.28
3 A No Kentucky (15-17, 93.7) 97-91 -6.21 4.75 0.01 0.87 8.25
3 A Robert Morris (15-12, 93.6) 60-46 -6.27 4.69 0.01 0.87 8.15
3 A Detroit ( 7-24, 92.3) 95-66 -7.59 3.37 0.01 0.87 5.86
3 H Wright St ( 9-23, 92.5) 67-70 -7.38 3.58 -0.01 0.87 -3.20
3 H Cleveland St (25- 9, 94.3) 56-73 -5.62 5.34 -0.01 0.87 -2.44
3 A Detroit ( 7-24, 92.3) 84-68 -7.59 3.37 0.01 0.87 5.86
3 H Oakland (10-21, 93.2) 64-71 -6.70 4.26 -0.01 0.87 -2.91
3 H Youngstown St (23-10, 94.4) 71-76 -5.50 5.46 -0.01 0.87 -2.39
3 A WI-Milw ( 7-25, 92.3) 71-52 -7.63 3.33 0.01 0.87 5.79
3 A Green Bay (25- 9, 95.1) 71-66 -4.76 6.20 0.01 0.87 10.77
3 A Robert Morris (15-12, 93.6) 73-43 -6.27 4.69 0.01 0.87 8.15
3 A IUI (12-17, 93.4) 85-49 -6.49 4.47 0.01 0.87 7.76
3 H Green Bay (25- 9, 95.1) 48-73 -4.76 6.20 -0.01 0.87 -2.07
3 A So Alabama (17-19, 93.7) 77-72 -6.22 4.74 0.01 0.87 8.24
3 H Arkansas St (25-10, 94.9) 72-83 -4.97 5.99 -0.01 0.87 -2.16
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117.12
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winning pts = 152.1842 losing points = -35.0629
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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